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More worries as Nigeria records 796 new COVID-19, total now 72,140

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The fears of a possibe second wave of Covid-19 in Nigeria became further imminent on Friday afrer the country recorded 796 fresh COVID-19 cases.

The Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC), which disclosed this on its Twitter handle, said the new COVID-19 cases were recorded in 15 states of the federation and Abuja.

It added that the number of COVID-19 fatalities in Nigeria stood at 1,190 as of Friday night.

Also, the total number of confirmed cases increased to 72,140.

Meanwhile, 65,722 COVID-19 patients have been discharged from various isolation facilities in the country.

The breakdown of the figure on a state-by-state basis revealed the following: FCT (258), Lagos (248), Kaduna (117), Katsina (52), Ogun (27), Kwara (23), Gombe (22), Adamawa (17), and Plateau (15).

Others are – Kano (6), Rivers (2), Ondo (2), Ekiti (2), Nasarawa (2), Sokoto (2), and Taraba (1).

“Total confirmed COVID-19 cases: 72,140.

“Discharged: 65,722 AND Deaths: 1,190.”

Leadership publisher, Sam Ndah-Isaiah dies of COVID-19 aged 58

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The publisher of Leadership newspaper, Sam Nda-Isaiah, is dead.

Nda-Isaiah had attended the meeting of the Newspapers Proprietors Association of Nigeria (NPAN) last week in Lagos.

He was also said to be at his duty post in Abuja on Thursday during the inaugural meeting of National Economy’s Board of Economists at the corporate head office of the media organisation.

A senior management staff of his company was said to have broken the sad news of his death on the company’s staff WhatsApp , saying, “Today is a sad day for Leadership.”

He said the family and the company would issue a statement to announce the death of the former pharmacist.

He was chairman of the Leadership Group and Editor-in-Chief of Leadership newspapers, a daily newspaper organisation that publishes Leadership, Leadership Weekend, Leadership Sunday, Leadership Confidential, Leadership Edge and Leadership Hausa.

Nda-Isaiah was a member of the Vienna-based International Press Institute; a member of the World Association of Newspapers, Paris, France; and a member of the Institute of Directors.

He was a member of the Newspapers Proprietors Association of Nigeria; Chairman, Oakhouse Forte Limited; Chairman, Banana Republic; Chairman, Clayfields and Harrow; Director, Empire Securities Limited; Director, Societa Generale Fondazini; Director, Maitama Amusement Park Plc; Member governing council of Kaduna International School; Chairman, Robertsham Hotel and Group Ten Ltd, Johannesburg, South Africa.

Born on May 1, 1962 in Niger State, Nda-Isaiah died at 58.

Though a trained pharmacist from the University Of Ife, now Obafemi Awolowo University, Nda-Isaiah ventured into politics and newspaper publishing.

On his Facebook page, the late Nda-Isaiah described himself as a leading pro-good governance advocate and a consistent voice on contemporary and domestic policy issues.

He also described himself as “one of the most respected men in the Nigerian media.”
Nda-Isaiah was a chieftain the ruling All Progressives Congress, he was one of the party’s presidential aspirants for the 2015 election.

He alongside former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar; former Governor Rochas Okorocha and former Governor Rabiu Kwankwaso among others lost the APC presidential ticket to President Buhari who later won the election by defeating the candidate of the People’s Democratic Party, Goodluck Jonathan, in the 2015 election.

Before then, in 2003, he headed Muhammadu Buhari’s presidential campaign publicity.

As of the time of filing this report, the deceased’s family and the Leadership newspaper had yet to formally announce his death.

Buhari ended Boko Haram, terrorists now ‘chasing clout’ with killings: Defence Minister

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Nigeria’s defence minister Bashir Magashi has applauded President Muhammadu Buhari’s efforts in cutting the vicious Boko Haram sect down to size since he took up the reins of power in 2015.

Mr. Magashi, a retired major-general from the Nigerian Army, falsely claimed on Channels Thursday that the dreaded terrorists have been subdued and dislodged from their strongholds in the troubled Northeast.

“No piece of land is occupied by Boko Haram in Borno state,” the defence minister said. “In Borno, about 20 local governments were under capture by Boko Haram, but as soon as Buhari came, they were all subdued and we took over all these things and we even said we technically defeated this Boko Haram.”

Mr. Magashi’s glowing appraisal of the Buhari administration comes nearly two weeks after scores of farmers were slaughtered on a rice field in Borno’s Zabarmari village by Boko Haram insurgents.

In an apparent attempt to deflect responsibility for the carnage, a presidential spokesman Garba Shehu had blamed the slain farmers for failing to obtain military clearance before resuming farming activities in the area, all but contradicting the Buhari administration’s claim that the Nigerian military had seized control of the volatile region ravaged by decade-long terrorist and insurgent violence.

Mr. Magashi, however, insists that national security has improved under President Buhari.

“The problem of this country is that we always forget too soon. Look in 2015 backwards. Everywhere in Nigeria in those years, you find that there were commotions, no security, people can’t move. Even in Abuja, there were bombings,” the minister said.

Mr. Magashi attributed the widespread killings by Boko Haram to a desperate attempt by the terrorists to seek global attention.

“The only thing normally with the kind of insurgent operation is that they want to surprise you, embarrass you, and do whatever they think that would attract international news or the national news or cause commotion within the environment they operate,” he averred.

Nigerian authorities have admitted helplessness in containing insurgency, which has tarried since 2009, leaving thousands killed and millions displaced.

Chief of Army Staff Tukur Buratai has predicted that terrorism may persist in the country for another 20 years.

Nigerian Army and General Buratai’s drive on infrastructure

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By Thomas Uzah PhD

It will be twisted logic and misplaced sense of judgment of the exact reality to assert that the Nigerian Army is having good times in infrastructural provisions under the supervision of its current Chief of Army Staff (COAS) Lt. Gen. Tukur Yusuf Buratai. It is more appropriate to say, the Nigerian Army has landed in its best of times on infrastructural provisions and exceptional welfare packages under the guardianship of the COAS, Gen. Buratai.

Before the reality of the leadership of Nigeria by President Muhammadu Buhari, discerning Nigerians knew several other salient reasons accounted for the persistent open anger expressed by soldiers in the warfront. The persistent mutinous actions by troops at the frontlines fighting Boko Haram was partly attributable to the absolute neglect and defacement of the infrastructural image and welfare of officers and soldiers.

Soldiers experienced and endured dilapidated Barracks, acute shortage of office and residential accommodations, poor state of Army Guest Houses and camps throughout the country. Some Army Barracks had not tested any flavour of renovation or rehabilitation since Nigeria’s first post-independence era Defence Minister, Alhaji Muhammadu Ribadu built the structures in the early sixties. History has recorded him as a leader who massively built new Barracks and renovated old ones.

Like Ribadu; Gen. Buratai has carved an enviable niche for himself in the new Millennium as an Army Chief who has generously built new Barracks for the Army and massively renovated old ones in virtually all parts of the country. African proverb says, a chic which would grow into a cock is known the very it is hatched.

So, Gen. Buratai started exuding the signs of a genuine leader, reformer, a positive minded personality and charismatic goal-getter on all fronts the first day he assumed office as Nigeria’s COAS. He toured Army formations and units across the country; bemoaned the competitively dilapidated state of Army Barracks and facilities, whilst he silently took notes on the urgent interventions each of the Barracks required to transform into a habitable dwelling place for soldiers.

The Army boss believes in the philosophy that a soldier deserves the best in peacetime because he faces death every minute in wartimes. Though, Gen. Buratai sauntered unto the leadership of the Nigerian Army at the time Nigeria was plunged into economic crunch. But the reality of meagre budgetary votes and insufficient funding of the Army to date did not deter Gen. Buratai from putting smiles on the faces of officers and soldiers.

With a supportive Commander-In-Chief, President Buhari, Gen. Buratai has propelled the Nigerian Army on an unprecedented and incredible structural expansion and physical development in the last five years. He corrected and normalized what appeared to have been an intentionally institutionalized structural decay, deformities and degeneration of almost three decades in barely five years of his leadership.

And the real good news is that the Army Chief has not felt he has done enough to assuage the depravities his colleagues’ yet. Therefore, he hungers to accomplish more in impactful legacies for the Nigerian Army. And to properly uplift Army personnel welfare, Gen, Buratai has starched an extra mile to partner with private estate developers to berth his vision of normalizing the accommodation deficits, which hitherto plagued the Nigerian Army for decades.

Reputed as a focused leader, with a functional mind, Gen. Buratai has conceptualized and delivered his development agenda for the Nigerian Army under the broad divisions of policy frameworks of NA Property Limited and NA Welfare Limited by Guarantee, Army Post-Service Housing Scheme and Nigeria Army Farm and Ranches among a motley of others.

Gen. Buratai is a man of taste and elegance. And one unique feature of Buratai’s touch on structural transformation of the Army is that he has phased out the Lord Lugard’s structures which dotted Army formations/ Barracks and replaced them with modern architectural masterpieces. And the new buildings are also an aesthetic consummation of the dynamism of architecture’s latest wonders of awful edifices. They are a sight to behold everywhere. He replaced obsolete amenities, facilities and equipment in the Army Barracks and units with state-of-the art latest models.

The establishment of two new Army Divisions by Gen. Buratai in conformity with the Presidential directive on new Nigerian Army Order of Battle (ORBAT) is not the most cheering news. But it is the pleasant shock that the new Nigerian Army Divisions 6 and 8 in Port Harcourt, Rivers state and Monguno, Borno state are fully operationalized. And it is because the Army Chief worked assiduously to get all the needed structures ready within record time.

Gen. Buratia has replicated the same portrait in the new and novel Nigerian Army University Biu (NAUB); the first Nigerian Army War College, the Nigerian Army Aviation School as well as the renovation and construction of new buildings at the Nigerian Army School of Artillery in Kachia, Kaduna State. He renovated and modernized the Office of the Military Secretary at the Army Headquarters Abuja; built and equipped the Nigerian Army Resource Centre (NARC) Abuja, which is serving the dual purpose of an expansive office accommodation and modern resource venue for workshops and seminars for soldiers.

Still in Abuja, the fanciful modern structures at the Muhammadu Buhari Cantonment at Giri, consisting of new 150 flats of accommodation in the Barracks accommodating 150 families of officers and soldiers is legendary in the recent history of the Nigerian Army. Okene in Kogi State has also hosted a new Army Forward Operations Base’s (FOB), and military barracks.

The testimony also reflected at the newly built headquarters of the 331 Artillery Tactical Forward Operation Base (FOB) in Buratai in Biu LGA of Borno state. The structural development inclination of Gen. Buratai started quite early in his leadership. By 2016, the renovation of 10 blocks of 30 flats each at the Maxwell Khobe Cantonment, Jos was completed.

The development streak descended on the 3 Brigade Kano, where new blocks of multiple flats of accommodation for soldiers in the Bukavu Barracks, Kano have been completed. It amazingly displays two newly constructed blocks of 24 flats each and five renovated blocks of 12 flats each. Still under Gen. Buratai’s leadership, the Nigerian Army renovated and remodeled accommodation for 120 soldiers in Ribabu Cantonment and Dalet Barracks, under 1 Division (1 DIV) Nigerian Army, Kaduna, comprising of flashy 120 flats.

And the Nigerian Army’s partnership with Betonic West Limited has launched a N7.5 billion Army Post-Service Housing project in Otukpo and Ohimini LGAs of Benue state. The same rewarding partnership with Belemaoil Producing Limited, has earned the Army a 3-story building containing 30 flats at the 16 Brigade Headquarters, Camp Buratai, Yenagoa, Bayelsa State. Gen. Buratai has established a dozen Army Forward Operations Bases (FOBs) throughout Nigeria with all the necessary facilities.

Quite impactfully too, the leadership of the Nigerian Army by Gen. Buratai has rehabilitated and re-equipped all existing Army hospitals, medical facilities and Referral hospitals. The aim is to give the best medical care to “Wounded Soldiers in Action” (WIA) as wels of families of Army personnel. He has finalized this vision by building a new Referral Hospitals, located in Maiduguri, Borno state.

And work is earnestly in progress at the new Army Referral Hospital, located in Abakaliki, Ebony state to make healthcare delivery more accessible and affordable to soldiers, their families and even members of the host communities. Gen. Buratai is indeed, the Nigerian Army’s Mr. Infrastructure. Even at the risk of flattery, it is more accurate to say the Nigerian has never experienced these robust structural developments and expansions in recent times as spearheaded by Gen. Buratai. It is precisely, the best of times for the Nigerian Army.

Therefore, after Alhaji Muhammadu Ribadu, no COAS since post -independence Nigeria has rapaciously upgraded structures of the Nigerian Army like Gen. Buratai. He has evidently done so much to better the lot of his colleagues more than anyone else.

Gen. Buratai represents the changing face of Nigerian Army’s structural beauty and development revolution in Nigeria. Nigerian Army missed a leader in Gen. Buratai at the time Nigeria bubbled in excess wealth, but with no committed leaders. Had Gen. Buratai climbed the ladder of leadership at such glorious times, Nigerian Army would have been a perfect example of another El Dorado in Nigeria.

Uzah PhD is Head of Department, Mass Communication, Kwararafa University Wukari.

Blacklist: Christian Youths reject US position on Nigeria over religious intolerance

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The Young Christian Forum of Nigeria has strongly frowned at the classification of Nigeria as a religious intolerant county by the United States of America.

Recall that the United States had blacklisted Nigeria for “engaging (in) systematic, ongoing, egregious religious freedom violations.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced the measure via Twitter on Monday, saying his country will continue to act when “religious freedom is attacked”.
However, CFN insisted that Nigeria is not a religious intolerant country as asserted by the US under the International Religious Freedom Act of 1998.
This is coming after the Federal Government earlier denounced the listing of Nigeria by the United States as one of the countries known for “systematic, ongoing, egregious religious freedom violations.”
The federal government described Nigeria as a nation that “jealously protects religious freedom as enshrined in the 1999 Constitution and takes seriously any infringements in this regard.”
Similarly, the Christian Association of Nigeria (CAN) said there was religious freedom in Nigeria, but admitted that Christians, especially in the North, were being persecuted.
Reacting to the development during a press conference on Friday, CFN through its President, Pastor Prince Gideon, called on the United States, to remove Nigeria from the list of countries it has blacklisted over religious intolerance
The group said there is no record of religious intolerance in the country as averred by the US.
Full text of his speech below.

The Young Christian Forum as the umbrella body of young Christians in Nigeria is taken aback by the position of the United States of America in this regard which in our considered opinion is lacking in every form of objectivity. We are consequently amazed at how such classification could be made without recourse to the religious plurality of Nigeria.

It is our considered opinion that the United States of America does not have any moral authority to label Nigeria as a religious intolerant country for the fact that there hasn’t been any instance where adherents of the various religious faiths in Nigeria have been hindered or prevented from practicing or engaging in their religious beliefs.

The Young Christian Forum sees this as an affront to our sensibilities as a people and as a country because the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria explicitly guarantees all citizens of Nigeria the right to religious freedom and this has been the norm from time immemorial.

The Young Christian Forum is not aware of any of such restrictions in Nigeria. The vibrant Nigerian press has not reported that with regards to restrictions on religious freedom or instances of religious favoritism by all tiers of government in Nigeria.

It remains a figment of the United States of America that there are religious restrictions in Nigeria. If this is not the case, we wonder how the United States of America arrived at such an illogical conclusion.

The attendant designation of Nigeria as a country of concern in religious freedom is very uncharitable and a display of crass ignorance by the American authorities in what can be termed a plot to spark mutual suspicion amongst the adherents of the various religious groupings in the country.

The United States of America must come to terms with the fact that designating a sovereign country like Nigeria as religiously intolerant is an act of sabotage that does not spell well for the psychological psyche of Nigerians.
The Young Christian Forum as a critical stakeholder in Nigeria is most embarrassed by the action of the United States of America because it is evident that there is more than meets the eyes.

It is also a dishonorable action for the American authorities to attempt to pitch the various religions against each other in Nigeria by making wild and unsubstantiated allegations that can’t be back by any fact.

The Young Christian Forum wishes to use this medium to enlighten the American authorities that their line of thought is defective and not a reflection of the realities on the ground in Nigeria with regards to the rights of Nigerian citizens to practice any religion of their choice.

This is on the heels that in Nigeria, there hasn’t been any instance where the government has placed restrictions on religious expressions. As a fact, no Christian or Muslim has been prosecuted for practicing their faiths. It is also on record that the government has shut no religious place of worship under any guise.

The Young Christian Forum consists of members from various interdenominational organizations, and to the best of our knowledge, there has not been any curricular restricting the rights of our members or citizens to worship or association. The American authorities must, as a matter of morality desists from making unguarded statements that are capable of igniting a sectarian conflict in Nigeria such as this.

We consequently demand that an unreserved apology be tendered to Nigeria and Nigerians from the United States of America because their classification of Nigeria as a country with egregious religious violations is untoward and smacks of a mockery of the sincerity of the United States of America on issues of global concern in all ramifications.

The Young Christian Forum is calling on all Nigerians to avoid any terrorist tagging by any country. We are a country of noblemen and women with a high level of religious tolerance. As such, we refuse to be painted in a bad light.

We are using this medium to call on the United States of America to begin the process of removing Nigeria from the list of countries it has designated as a country of concern for engaging systematic, ongoing, egregious religious freedom violations. Nigeria and Nigerians deserve her respectful position amongst the comity of nations as one of the countries with impeccable records in religious tolerance.

The Young Christian Forum of Nigeria is calling on the international community as well as our development partners to disregard the insinuations by the United States of America, which by and large is more political than reality.

Blacklist: Christian Youths reject US position on Nigeria over religious intolerance

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Some Christian youths have rejected the United States’ designation of Nigeria as one of the religious intolerant countries in the world.

The group, under the auspices of Young Christian Forum of Nigeria (YCFN) said the U.S’ assessment lacks objectivity in every form and was made without recourse to the religious plurality of Nigeria.

Speaking at a press conference on Friday in Abuja, President, Pastor Prince Gideon, said the U.S.lacks “moral authority to label Nigeria as a religious intolerant country for the fact that there hasn’t been any instance where adherents of the various religious faiths in Nigeria have been hindered or prevented from practising or engaging in their religious beliefs”.

According to the YCfN, there hasn’t been any instance where the government has placed restrictions on religious expressions, adding that no Christian or Muslim has been prosecuted for practising their faiths.

The group also reminded the U.S. that the Nigerian government has never shut a religious place of worship under any guise.

The group, therefore, demanded an unreserved apology to be tendered to Nigeria and Nigerians from the United States of America.

It, however, advised the U.S to begin the process of removing Nigeria from its blacklist of countries of concern for engaging systematic, ongoing, egregious religious freedom violation.

Read full statement below:

This press conference by the Young Christian Forum of Nigeria became necessary given the latest development where Nigeria was classified as a religious intolerant county by the United States of America.

The Young Christian Forum as the umbrella body of young Christians in Nigeria is taken aback by the position of the United States of America in this regard which in our considered opinion is lacking in every form of objectivity. We are consequently amazed at how such classification could be made without recourse to the religious plurality of Nigeria.

It is our considered opinion that the United States of America does not have any moral authority to label Nigeria as a religious intolerant country for the fact that there hasn’t been any instance where adherents of the various religious faiths in Nigeria have been hindered or prevented from practising or engaging in their religious beliefs.

The Young Christian Forum sees this as an affront to our sensibilities as a people and as a country because the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria explicitly guarantees all citizens of Nigeria the right to religious freedom and this has been the norm from time immemorial.

The Young Christian Forum is not aware of any of such restrictions in Nigeria. The vibrant Nigerian press has not reported that with regards to restrictions on religious freedom or instances of religious favouritism by all tiers of government in Nigeria.

It remains a figment of the United States of America that there are religious restrictions in Nigeria. If this is not the case, we wonder how the United States of America arrived at such an illogical conclusion.

The attendant designation of Nigeria as a country of concern in religious freedom is very uncharitable and a display of crass ignorance by the American authorities in what can be termed a plot to spark mutual suspicion amongst the adherents of the various religious groupings in the country.

The United States of America must come to terms with the fact that designating a sovereign country like Nigeria as religiously intolerant is an act of sabotage that does not spell well for the psychological psyche of Nigerians.

The Young Christian Forum as a critical stakeholder in Nigeria is most embarrassed by the action of the United States of America because it is evident that there is more than meets the eyes.

It is also a dishonourable action for the American authorities to attempt to pitch the various religions against each other in Nigeria by making wild and unsubstantiated allegations that can’t be back by any fact.

The Young Christian Forum wishes to use this medium to enlighten the American authorities that their line of thought is defective and not a reflection of the realities on the ground in Nigeria with regards to the rights of Nigerian citizens to practice any religion of their choice.

This is on the heels that in Nigeria, there hasn’t been any instance where the government has placed restrictions on religious expressions. As a fact, no Christian or Muslim has been prosecuted for practising their faiths. It is also on record that the government has shut no religious place of worship under any guise.

The Young Christian Forum consists of members from various interdenominational organizations, and to the best of our knowledge, there has not been any curricular restricting the rights of our members or citizens to worship or association. The American authorities must, as a matter of morality desists from making unguarded statements that are capable of igniting a sectarian conflict in Nigeria such as this.

We consequently demand that an unreserved apology be tendered to Nigeria and Nigerians from the United States of America because their classification of Nigeria as a country with egregious religious violations is untoward and smacks of a mockery of the sincerity of the United States of America on issues of global concern in all ramifications.

The Young Christian Forum is calling on all Nigerians to avoid any terrorist tagging by any country. We are a country of noblemen and women with a high level of religious tolerance. As such, we refuse to be painted in a bad light.

We are using this medium to call on the United States of America to begin the process of removing Nigeria from the list of countries it has designated as a country of concern for engaging systematic, ongoing, egregious religious freedom violations. Nigeria and Nigerians deserve her respectful position amongst the comity of nations as one of the countries with impeccable records in religious tolerance.

The Young Christian Forum of Nigeria is calling on the international community as well as our development partners to disregard the insinuations by the United States of America, which by and large is more political than reality.

I thank you all for your time, and God bless abundantly.

#EndSARS: APC caucus demands Gbajabimila resignation as Speaker

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The Coalition of APC Democrats has passed a vote of no confidence on the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Femi Gbajabiamila, consequently demanding his resignation from office.

The group said Gbajabiamila has displayed gross abuse of office and complete disregard for the APC as a party.

Speaking at a press conference on Friday in Abuja through its National Coordinator, Kabiru Adamu Matazu it said the Lagos lawmaker’s unwholesome activities reached at an all-time low in recent weeks.

From pretending to be a nationalist whilst at the same time cheering hoodlums during the EndSARS protests, the APC group noted that Gbaja has ridiculed the office of the president with his constant bashing and invitations.

Instead of synergising with the executive to deliver on the campaign promises of the APC, the coalition accused the Speaker of constantly attacking the policies of the Federal Government.

The Coalition of APC Democrats, therefore, concludes that Gbajabiamila has lost the party’s support and it would be against all forms of morality for him to continue to occupy the Office of the Speaker of the House of Representatives.

It, however, demanded that the Surulere I legislature step down for a loyal member of the APC to assume the position in the interest of the party and the country.

The group further warned its members that it would no longer tolerate such scorn from a supposed high ranking member of the party.

Read the full statement below:

Ladies and Gentlemen, the leadership of the Coalition of APC Democrats welcome you all to this important press conference put together to shed light on the unwholesome activities of the Speaker of the House of Representatives in recent times.

It is a statement of the fact that Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila has indeed demonstrated an uncanny penchant for playing to the gallery on issues of national concern since he was elected as the Speaker of the House of Representatives on the platform of the All Progressive Congress.

The disdain of Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila for the APC led federal government has reached an alarming crescendo with his constant attacks on the policies of the government in an attempt to give a false impression to members of the unsuspecting general public with regards to democratic governance in the country.

Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila as a high ranking APC member ought to know that his accession as the Speaker of the House of Representative was a function of the collective effort of the APC to ensure that all arms of government work in synergy towards delivering on the campaign promises of the APC led the government to the good people of Nigeria.

The Coalition of APC Democrats have in times past cautioned the Speaker on his public grandstanding which portrays the APC led government in a bad light. But he has instead carried on with impunity not minding whose ox is gored.

The serial bashing and invitations extended of the President is the greatest insult that Mr President has received. The Speaker cannot claim to be a party man, yet subjecting the President to public ridicule, which is just one of the numerous instances where his disdain and lack of respect for the President has been brought to the fore.

The Coalition of APC Democrats views such disposition as not only despicable but an insult to the sensibilities of APC democrats across the nook and cranny of Nigeria that toiled tirelessly towards his emergence as Speaker of the House of Representatives.

The case of Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila is indeed that of ingratitude and disdain for the ideals of the APC as a party of democrats. He has also notoriously been rewarding those that financed his elections while ignoring the efforts of the party in bringing him on board to be eligible to seek election into the office of the Speaker of the House of Representatives.

The Coalition of APC Democrats states that indeed the unwholesome activities of Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila is such that defeats common sense as it can be best described as an act of ingratitude and a coup against the APC as a party.

We also recall how he contributed to the EndSARS campaign that almost tore the country into pieces by pretending to be a nationalist whilst at the same time cheering the hoodlums to bring down the country.

The Coalition of APC Democrats consequently states in unequivocal terms that Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila has lost our support as it would be against all forms of morality for him to continue to occupy the Office of the Speaker of the House of Representatives.

We are by this medium informing the members of the general public that the Coalition of APC Democrats has passed a vote of no confidence on the Speaker of the House of Representatives for gross abuse of office and complete disregard for the APC as a party.

We, therefore, demand unequivocally that the Speaker resigns his position in the national interest and allow any loyal member of the party to assume the position of Speaker in the interest of the party and the country.

Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila is a lesson in dishonesty and should not be trusted by the general public as he has displayed his real tendencies which by and large is self-serving and dancing to the dictates of his paymasters.

We also wish to state that Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila is not democrat but an opportunist that thrives in blackmail and public grandstanding, which is highly misleading and detrimental to the entrenchment of democracy in Nigeria.

He is not fit for purpose as he has elected to be against the interest of the APC as a party that is committed to delivering the dividends of democracy to Nigerians that were unanimous in giving their mandate to the APC to lead Nigeria right in the quest towards sustainable socio-economic development.

The Coalition of APC Democrats wishes to advise Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila to tow the path of honour by resigning his position as the Speaker of the House of Representatives as it is apparent that he is out on a mission of self-aggrandizement, which is against the ideals of the APC as a party.

We also wish to inform members of the APC across the nook and cranny in Nigeria that the actions of Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila do not reflect or represents the commitment of the APC in ensuring that Nigeria is placed on the path of greatness and as such he should be treated as a self-serving traitor.

The public ridicule of the APC as a party by Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila is enough as we shall no longer tolerate such scorn from a supposed high ranking member of the party any longer.

The leadership of the Coalition of APC Democrats is putting it on record that we have disassociated from Speaker Femi Gbajabiamila, and as such behoves on him to take his trade of dishonesty to his paymasters.

Thank you all, and God bless.

Insecurity: Why Nigeria is under Siege

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The omens are not good with the increasing rate of insecurity nationwide. In this analysis, YUSUF ALLI, MANAGING EDITOR, NORTHERN OPERATION examines why Nigeria is on the edge – contending with Boko Haram insurgents in the Northeast, bandits in the Northwest, kidnappers and sundry criminals everywhere else. Additional reports form BISI OLANIYI (South-south Bureau Chief); RASAQ IBRAHIM (Ado-Ekiti); MIKE ODIEGWU (Port Harcourt) and OSAGIE OTABOR (Akure).

In the beginning

Smarting from the abduction of 276 school girls by Boko Haram from Government Secondary School in Chibok, Borno State, on the night of 14-15 April 2014, it was easier for Nigerians to buy into the security agenda of Muhammadu Buhari, who was presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC) at the 2015 presidential election.

Buhari overstretched himself to reassure a depressed nation that he will secure the country. In his inaugural speech, he said: “Boko Haram is not only the security issue bedeviling our country. The spate of kidnappings, armed robberies, herdsmen/farmers clashes, cattle rustlings all help to add to the general air of insecurity in our land.

“We are going to erect and maintain an efficient, disciplined people – friendly and well – compensated security forces within overall security architecture.”

The APC campaign machinery had branded former President Goodluck Jonathan a ‘clueless’ leader to underscore his inability to tackle the myriad of challenges confronting Nigeria – especially insecurity.

The situation today

After being in the saddle for five years, it is becoming crystal clear to the president and his team that managing the security architecture of a nation is not a tea-party. Armed with his experience as the General Officer Commanding (GOC) in 1982 when he overran some Maitatsine fundamentalists and chased them to Chad, Buhari was optimistic of easily tackling Nigeria’s security problems.

But the paradigm has changed. Tactics have become more sophisticated and criminals more hi-tech than the military, the police and other security agencies.

Capturing the mood of the country, the Sultan of Sokoto and President of the Nigerian Supreme Council of Islamic Affairs (NSCIA), Alhaji Muhammad Sa’ad Abubakar III, said: “We have security problems in the country. Bandits now go into people’s houses to kidnap and not on the highway anymore. In the last couple of days, they are going into institutions. In Zaria, they went to ABU and the polytechnic and took away people,” he said.

The Sultan said that in the Northwest, in particular, people can’t sleep with their eyes closed and lamented that even on Wednesday, a village was razed down in Sokoto but people don’t hear about such incidents.

“The insecurity in the North is so high that people are afraid of travelling from Funtua (Katsina State) to Zaria (Kaduna State); a journey of about 48 or 50 miles. This is not to talk of from Sokoto to Abuja or Kano,” he said.

The Buhari administration has had more than a fair share of security problems with the frontiers now extended to farmers-herders conflicts and banditry in states like Zamfara, Katsina, Sokoto, Nasarawa, Benue, Kaduna, Plateau, Ekiti, and others. No state is immune to security stress but the magnitude differs from state to state.

According to data compiled from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED), a Washington D.C-based non-profit organization, there have been 47,000 deaths from ‘all’ actors, (Boko Haram, armed ‘bandits’ and ‘criminals’) from 2015 up to 31 January 2020).

But killings by the insurgents have assumed more dangerous proportion than any security threat. On February 19, 2018 at 5:30 pm, 110 schoolgirls aged 11–19 years old were kidnapped by Boko Haram insurgents from Government Girls’ Science and Technical College (GGSTC) in Dapchi.

Research by BBC Monitoring claimed that at least 967 people were killed by Boko Haram attacks in 2017, while 910 deaths were recorded in the previous year (2016). In its 2019 report, Amnesty International reported that Boko Haram carried out 31 attacks that resulted in at least 378 civilian deaths.

The group also killed at least 16 abducted civilians. It also reported that at least 96 people were killed in violent clashes between farmers’ and herders’ communities while not less than 570 people lost their lives, probably to banditry, in five states in the Northwest Nigeria during the same period.

Kidnapping has also become the norm with the nation recording a leap from a skeletal rate in 2003 to a jumbo level. ENACT, which is funded by the European Union, stated: “Niger Delta states – notably Delta, Edo and Abia – have long been the epicentre of kidnapping in the country. In the past three years, Kaduna has also become a hotspot.

According to a Nigeria-based security company Bulwark Intelligence, based on incidents reported in the local media from January 2018 to September 2018, states that recorded the highest numbers of incidents include Kaduna, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Zamfara, and Katsina.

“According to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), using data from law enforcement agencies of member states, 277 kidnappings were reported in Nigeria in 2007; 309 in 2008; 703 in 2009; 738 in 2010; 600 in 2012; and 574 in 2013. No data were provided for 2011. In 2015, the Nigeria Police Force reported 886 kidnappings. About 630 people were reportedly abducted between May 2016 and May 2017.

A report by Quartz Africa said: “Nigeria has one of the world’s highest rates of kidnap-for-ransom cases. Other countries high up on the list included Venezuela, Mexico, Yemen, Syria, the Philippines, Iraq, Afghanistan and Somalia.”

Also, a recent investigation by Daily Trust indicated that 1,570 people were abducted in 11 months in this year alone. The kidnappers were said to have demanded N6.9billion but the victims could only pay N311million.

The worst violence was the massacre by Boko Haram of 48 rice farmers in Zabarmari, a few kilometres away from Maiduguri, Borno State capital.

Problems hindering fight against insecurity

A major setback is low or poor defence budget. Over the years, Nigeria had failed to prioritize funding of its defence because of its stable democracy. A World Bank report claimed that between 1999 and 2007, the nation’s defence budget was between $0.49b and $0.97billion. It was the same challenge Nigeria faced between 1985 and 1999 during the administrations of ex-President Ibrahim Babangida, Chief Ernest Shonekan, Gen. Sani Abacha and Gen. Abubakar Abdulsalami. From $1.09b in 1985, defence budget shrunk as low as $0,1b in some years,

According to findings, there had been a steady increase in challenges without corresponding funding.  The World Bank report gave a breakdown of the nation’s defence budget in recent years as follow

  • 2018 ($2.04b) a 26.02% increase from 2017;
  • 2017 was $1.62B, a 5.92% decline from 2016.
  • 2016 was $1.72B, a 16.57% decline from 2015.
  • 2015 was $2.07B, a 12.39% decline from 2014.

A military source said: “With low defence budget, it means we have been experiencing depletion of armaments, coping with overused hardware and we became bare-handed over a long period.

“By the time multiple security challenges confronted the country, recession has made us vulnerable and we could no longer replenish our stock. Also, some hardware we ought to have acquired over the years became expensive and hard to get at the press of a button. And because of the crises at hand, we spend more on logistics than the equipment we need.”

Recourse to ad-hoc/ stop-gap operations

To tackle the security problems, over 40 operations were launched by the Army, Air Force and Navy. But the ad-hoc or stop-gap operations have overstretched all formations and affected coordination. A source said the measures had proved more costly than expected.

Although it was gathered that the stop-gap tactics were designed to get all the armed forces involved, the success rate has been low because of constant change of guards. Some of these operations include the oldest launched in July 2015 called Operation LAFIYA DOLE, Operation RATTLE SNAKE, Operation RUWAN WUTA I,II,III, Operation LAST HOLD(North-East);  Operations SHARAN DAJI,  HADARIN DAJI, HARBIN KUNAMA, DOKAJI,KARAMIN GORO and ACCORD(North-West); Operations HARBIN KUNAMA, SAFE HAVEN, NUTCRACKER, CAT RACE and WHIRL STROKE in North-Central, Operations PYTHON DANCE I, ATILOGWU, EGWU EKE(Python Dance II)in the South-East;  DELTA SAFE, IBAKA among others in the South-South. For the South West, there were Operation Python Dance III and Operation 777.

President Muhammadu BuhariPresident Muhammadu Buhari

But during a weekly briefing, the Coordinator Defence Media Operations, Major General John Enenche, said the Armed Forces of Nigeria and other security agencies “have continued their major operations across the country with dynamism”.

He said:  “The gallant troops made contact with the terrorists and effectively engaged and dominated them with According to him, in the North West, troops of Operation HADARIN DAJI and other subsidiary operations have sustained their operations progressively.”

Lack of continuity

In 2014, the administration of ex-President Goodluck Jonathan floated some counter-terrorism policies including ,a multi-layer communication structure for implementing National Counter-Terrorism Strategy (NACTEST), which were later abandoned. Also, towards the tail end of his government, Jonathan engaged some foreign mercenaries to assist in curtailing Boko Haram. Despite the success of the mercenaries, the Buhari administration discontinued the policy and disengaged the foreign fighters.

PR Nigeria, which was an undercover propaganda machinery of the military during the Jonathan era gave some insights into how the mercenaries came about. It said: “During the administration of President Goodluck Jonathan, Nigeria had covertly brought in ‘military-technical advisers’ suspected to be mercenaries from South Africa and the former Soviet Union to take on Boko Haram ahead of the national election in 2015.

“Several regional security, defence and diplomatic sources were aware of the development at the time – including a tacit confirmation by President Jonathan that two companies were providing “trainers and technicians” to help Nigerian forces.

“Speaking to PRNigeria under the condition of anonymity, one of the facilitators of the “soldiers of fortune” bemoaned the humiliation, persecution and prosecution of foreign mercenaries along with their Nigerian counterparts who participated in the operation after the emergence of the administration of President Muhammadu Buhari.

He said: “Some of our covert operations and activities of operatives in Nigeria including incurred casualties were exposed as working for mercenaries. Imagine that even highly classified and coded transactions for operational purposes were exposed as corruption.”

While noting that some of their payments for operations executed are still outstanding, he said, “It’s easier to confirm what we did because we were able to recover dozens of towns from Boko Haram from at least three states in Northeast at the time. This is an open secret.”

Rivalry among military chiefs

There has been suppressed intra and inter-agency feuds within the nation’s armed forces which at a point affected the consolidation of the gains against Boko Haram and other criminal elements. The rivalry bordered on refusal to share intelligence, solo military manoeuvres, each head of the defence arms seeking the attention of the President and Commander-In-Chief, ambition to become Chief of Defence Staff and taking credit for any successful operation.

But President Buhari and the Chief of Defence Staff (CDS), General Abayomi Gabriel Olonisakin succeeded in addressing the cold war to a large extent. In February, Olonisakin was more forthcoming when he said: “There is no doubt that our security forces require synergy and effective collaboration to succeed in the discharge of the onerous task of securing the nation.

“The required synergy transcends the three services of the armed forces to the paramilitary and even NGOs and other stakeholders in our various theatre of operation. This synergy is essential and vital to achieving our common objective of securing Nigeria.

“It will also help in formulating policies and assist the armed forces in its operations. Therefore, you must all display maturity and jettison all the hindrances to synergy and cooperation, such as ego and rivalry.”

Lack of cooperation from neighbouring countries

Nigeria and its neighbours have been part of a strong Multi-National Joint Task Force to “checkmate banditry activities and to facilitate free movement”. The reality is that the neighbours have been patching their military collaboration with each nation striving to defend its sovereignty. In a blog post, Ambassador John Campbell of the Council on Foreign Relations in the United States wrote: “Further, the report finds that participating countries are reluctant to cede command over their own troops to the MNJTF, planning is poorly coordinated, and there is a shortage of funding.

“Participating countries often have different political goals. For example, Crisis Group suggests that the Nigerian government sees the MNJTF as a fig leaf to cover the Chadian military’s operations within Nigerian territory.

“Further, civilian oversight is weak and poorly funded. To that end, Crisis Group recommends enhanced intelligence coordination, establishing clearer lines of authority, and improving the human rights posture. Those participating in the MNJTF should approach the AU and the EU for increased funding.”

What next?

The Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF) still believes the solution to Boko Haram insurgency and other security challenges is collaborating with neighbouring countries and state police.  Only the Southwest has introduced a pseudo-security apparatchik without the support of the Federal Government. But with the surge in insecurity, Nigeria may soon decentralize its security network.

Chairman of the NGF, Dr. Kayode Fayemi said: “I personally, as a security scholar, can see that our military is overwhelmed. Our military is no longer in a position to single-handedly tackle this menace effectively.

“It is not a criticism of our military, there can even be a coalition that will include our neighbouring countries who are probably more experienced in fighting an asymmetrical war. It will not be a loss of our pride as a country if that were to happen. This is certainly something that we, as your colleagues and brothers, will put before Mr. President.”

If things were tough battling insurgents who invade from outside Nigerian territory, the challenge is even worse now in the aftermath of the EndSARS protests that witnessed the killing of policemen and destruction of over 200 police stations across the country.

Today, police presence across the country is a pale shadow of what obtained in the recent past. In interviews with officers and rank and file, there has been a dramatic collapse in morale.

To make matter worse, in a state like Edo close to 2,000 convicts were freed in jailbreaks that occurred during the protests. Many of the inmates are still at large, wreaking havoc on hapless members of the public.

There is also the issue of the centralised control of the police which has resulted in growing frustration on the part of state governors who are ostensibly are chief security officers of their states.

Explaining the situation, Kaduna State Governor Nasir el-Rufai recently said: “We (governors) are all frustrated. I am frustrated in my state; many governors are frustrated in their states; we are called chief security officers only in name; we have no control over the army and the police. We are almost helpless. We don’t have a say in police operations, yet we fund some of their operations in our states.

“Some of us have more influence than others, but to a large extent, you ask the commissioner of police to do something and he has to clear with the Inspector-General of Police; this is the reality.

“We are not in control of the police, I don’t determine who gets posted to my state as Commissioner of Police and if I give him directives, he can decide to flout the directives. So, we are all frustrated.”

How politics, criminality heighten insecurity in Edo

Edo, a hitherto relatively-peaceful state, has been in the eye of the storm in the last few months over insecurity, leading to loss of lives of many innocent persons and destruction of valuable property.

Politics and criminality have heightened insecurity in the South-south state, with sophisticated arms and ammunition now in the hands of hoodlums, who are currently terrorising residents across the 18 local government areas, with Benin, the state capital, and its environs, being the worst hit.

During the campaigns and the September 19 Governorship Election in Edo State, it was an open secret that politicians gave guns to thugs to assist them to dominate the electioneering and have upper hands during the poll, which was “won” by Governor Godwin Obaseki of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

While the campaigns and the bloody election were ongoing, guns from political thugs were booming across the state, thereby heightening tension, with panicky residents running for cover, to avoid being hit by stray bullets.

With the crucial election over and the winner announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), politicians found it extremely difficult to withdraw the arms, ammunition and other dangerous weapons from the thugs, which they later started using for armed robbery, kidnapping and cultism, with members of rival cult groups openly brandishing guns in Edo, in supremacy battles.

Shortly after the September 19 election in Edo State came the nationwide peaceful #EndSARS protests, which were later hijacked by violent hoodlums, who shot guns sporadically into the air, without being confronted by security operatives, leading to lawlessness.

On October 19, the hoodlums that hijacked the peaceful #EndSARS protests opted for criminality by looting and razing seven police stations in Edo State, carting away large cache of arms, ammunition, police uniforms and other valuables, while also burning vehicles, including police patrol vans, parked at the police stations, thereby leading to total breakdown of law and order.

The AK-47 rifles, other weapons and ammunition stolen from the invaded and burnt police stations were mostly used by the hoodlums to attack the Maximum Correctional Centre (White House) on Sapele Road and Oko Medium Correctional Centre on Airport Road, both in Benin, freeing 1,993 inmates, including many condemned/hardened criminals, who immediately returned to crime.

While speaking on the increase in criminal activities in Edo, the state’s Commissioner of Police, Babatunde Kokumo, said that officers and men of the command were working within existing limitations to restore normalcy to the state, while assuring that all the criminals would soon be arrested and prosecuted, to serve as a deterrent to others.

Kokumo said: “Is there any magic that we can do without vehicles, without arms and ammunition? How do you expect things to be normal where almost 2,000 inmates escaped?

“Just imagine what it means that three police stations along Sokponba Road, Benin were destroyed and burnt, patrol vehicles were destroyed in many other parts of Edo State. All the Divisional Police Officers (DPOs) and other police officers and men in the seven burnt police stations now operate from the state police headquarters (in GRA, Benin).

“The peaceful #EndSARS protests were hijacked by hoodlums. The protests took a violent turn in Edo State, with inmates of the two correctional centres in Benin City set free. So, what do you expect?

“Some of the escapees have been sending threat messages to policemen, who investigated and prosecuted them. One of the escapees, who was convicted for murder, went that same day (October 19 this year) and he killed the prosecution witness in his village, but he was immediately rearrested.

“Everybody must be part of the restoration of sanity to Edo State. People who know the escapees should avail us information about them. I am assuring you that we are not sleeping, but with what has happened to the police in Edo State, some of these hitches are expected, but we are not sleeping and we will continue to work.”

Edo Police Commissioner also urged residents of the South-south state not to panic, but to go about their lawful businesses, while assuring them of adequate protection of lives and property.

Kokumo stressed that police officers and men of the command were trying their best, in spite of the challenges.

The Inspector-General of Police (IGP), Mohammed Adamu, later during his working visit to Edo State, while addressing police officers and men at the state headquarters in Benin, after inspecting the seven looted and razed police stations in the state, asked policemen not to leave the public space open for criminals to take charge, while directing them to occupy everywhere.

In order to restore the confidence of Edo residents in the security agencies, members of the Joint Security Taskforce in the state are now storming the notorious Upper Sokponba axis of Benin and other hot spots in Edo, leading to the arrest of suspected kidnappers, cultists,  armed robbers and other criminals terrorising the state. The General Officer Commanding (GOC), 2 Division, Nigerian Army, Maj.-Gen. Anthony Omozoje, who is leading the Special Joint Security Taskforce in Edo, assured the state’s governor, Godwin Obaseki, that the South-south state would soon be rid of criminals, for the residents to sleep with their two eyes closed.

He also gave an assurance that he and the personnel of the taskforce would halt the sudden rise in criminal activities in Edo State and support the efforts to re-arrest the 1,993 fleeing inmates of the two correctional centres in Benin.

Sultan of Sokoto Muhammad Sa'ad AbubakaSultan of Sokoto Muhammad Sa’ad Abubaka

The GOC, who also met with heads of security agencies in Edo, stated that there was the need for synergy among them, so as to bring down the crime rate in the state.

Maj.-Gen. Omozoje said: “Troops of the 4 Brigade, Nigerian Army, are on clearance operation at the hideouts of suspected kidnappers, cultists, armed robbers and other criminal elements. The taskforce is focused on ensuring a reduction in crime in Edo State.”

The GOC, who is closely working with the Assistant Inspector-General (AIG), Zone 5, Benin, Sholla David, and the Commander, 4 Brigade in the Edo State capital, Brig.-Gen. U.M. Bello, urged Edo residents to provide the taskforce with useful information on criminals in their midst, while assuring that identities of the informants would be adequately protected.

The security agencies and their personnel need to be alive to their responsibilities, especially with Christmas and New Year celebrations fast approaching, thereby ensuring the safety of lives and property of residents.

Rivers battles pirates, cultism, kidnapping, others

Prior to the EndSARS protest, security agencies and the Rivers State Government had intensified their efforts to tackle common security challenges, such as kidnapping, cultism, armed robbery, rape, murder, among others.

But the violence, which occurred following the hijack of the protest by hoodlums identified by security agencies as members of the Indigeneous Peoples of Biafra introduced a different dimension to the security issues in Rivers.

The hoodlums destroyed all the police stations, including an Area Command in Oyigbo Local Government Area of the state. They burnt over 50 vehicles, including an Armoured Personnel Carrier (APC), killed four policemen and six soldiers. They also burnt courts and privately owned hospitals in the area.

Fear gripped most residents in the state when the government confirmed that the hoodlums looted 50 AK47 rifles from the soldiers and the police. Though the military commenced an operation to recover the rifles and arrest the hoodlums, there have been pockets of criminal activities across the state.

Security agencies have been battling with the menace of pirates along some major waterways in the state. Major operating routes of the hoodlums are the Port-Harcourt-Bonny waterways, Bile in Degema and some waterways in Andoni Local Government Area of the state.

Recently, pirates killed one person and abducted two others during an attack on a passenger boat along the Bonny waterways. A source, who narrated the frequent attacks on commercial boats by sea robbers, said: ” A new boat with new engine was hijacked at Isaka area, that is the latest mode of crime on waterways, when they see new boats with new engine, they attack it and offload the passengers at the creek; so as usual, the passengers were dropped at the creek while the hoodlums whisked away two people believed to be rich among them.

“The reoccurrence of pirates attack has been a source of concern; we are no longer safe and the saddest thing is that nothing is being done by relevant authorities to stop this menace.

“On Sunday, November 29, 2020, pirates also attacked passengers at Owokiri/Opopo Riser, and whisked away one person. These hoodlums are known. They are highly connected with top contractors working with multinational oil companies in the state but nobody seems to care.”

The source said one of the suspects had been arrested and urges security agencies to intensify surveillance in the coastal communities.

But the Police Public Relations Officer, Nnamdi Omoni, said the police were taking drastic actions to contain the wave of attacks on waterways.

Omoni: “We have only five gunboats in the state to cover the coastal communities. We are utilizing them judiciously to cover such areas but we need the cooperation of the communities to achieve optimum security.

“We need information from them and the earlier they share the information with the police, the better for us, security of the waterways should not be a one-way traffic; it needs adequate collaboration between the police and the communities to fight such menace.”

Rivers has also been dealing with its fair share of cultism. The police in partnership with local vigilant group have been confronting cultists, who often engage in supremacy battles, causing panic in some suburbs of the capital city such as Mile 1, Mile 3, Diobu, Borokiri, popularly called Town and other areas.

Rivers State Governor, Nyesom Wike, recently imposed a 24-hour two-week curfew around the Okoro-Nu-Odu flyover in Rumuokoro, Obio-Akpor Local Government Area following upsurge cult violence.

The governor also warned that government would deal appropriately with anyone disturbing the peace and security of the state

Wike explained that the Rivers State Government was seriously disturbed by the recent upsurge of cult activities, related violence and killings around the affected areas.

He said: “Again, we wish to warn that community leaders that allow cultism and related activities to thrive unabated in their communities would be treated as collaborators to the resulting crimes and dealt with accordingly.

“We urge all citizens to be part of the efforts to curb cultism in the state by reporting any suspicious cult activity, including gatherings and initiations in or around their neighbourhoods to the security agencies for immediate action.”

Kidnapping and murder have also posed serious challenge to security agencies in the state. Though there has been decrease in the number of kidnap cases in the state, that cannot be said of gunmen’s killings in suspected cases of assassination.

Unknown gunmen recently shot and killed an engineer from Agana in Andoni Local Government Area of Rivers State, Michael Ebirien-Agana.

Edo Correctional Centre

The police also recently launched a manhunt for the gunmen, who kidnapped and murdered a former Rivers State Chairman of the Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG), Ebenezer Kalabo Amah. Amah was whisked away by unknown gunmen, who laid ambush at his residence on Precious Chukwu Street in Woji, Obio/Akpor Local Government Area, and was found dead the next day.

There has also been an ongoing war between security agencies and IPOB members. The police recently linked the attack on the Christian Universal Church International belonging to the father of Rivers State Governor, Nyesom Wike, to IPOB. But IPOB has denied involvement in the incident.

Hoodlums numbering about five sneaked into the Christian Universal Church International on 25 Azikiwe Street Mile 3 Diobu, on a Saturday night and detonated explosives suspected to be dynamites.

How insecurity worsen in Ondo

The aftermath of the ENDSARS protest brought another nightmare to residents of Akure and environs as armed robbery, kidnapping and other crimes assumed a sickening dimension. Absence of policemen in the street worsened the situation as the carnage caused during the ENDSARS protest led to the burning and looting of over eight police divisions across the state.

Towns where Police Divisions and stations were attacked were Okitipupa, Akure, Ondo town and Ore. Two policemen were killed in Ore, Odigbo Local Government Area and Ondo town, Ondo West Local Government Area. One of the policemen was mobbed while the other one was burnt alive inside his car.

Absence of police patrol in the street and highways in Ondo led to series of kidnappings, armed robbery and outright killing in Akure and other parts of the state. Several persons, including traders, have been abducted along the Akure-Owo-Bénin highway and the Akoko area. Traders and local government workers abducted last month were made to part with N5m.

Within Akure metropolis, three persons were shot dead while others lost valuables to various armed robbery attacks.

Among the many robbery and kidnap victims were Deputy Publicity Secretary of the All Progressives Congress, Ayodele Oladimeji, Speaker of Ondo State Youth Parliament, Smith Ikumapayi, HRH Oba Isreal Adeusi, who was shot dead; wife of the Chief of Staff to Governor Oluwarotimi Akeredolu, Sade Ale, amongst others.

Worried by the spate of incessant robbery attacks, Governor Oluwarotimi Akeredolu announced restriction in the operation of commercial motorcycle riders also known as Okada within the hours of 6am and 6pm.

Akeredolu warned that the motorcycle of any Okada rider found flouting his directive would be impounded.

He also placed a ban on all vehicles with unauthorised tinted glasses from plying the roads. He said any of such vehicles without a duly certified permit issued by a relevant security agency would be impounded.

Akeredolu also promised to provide all necessary support in terms of both human and logistics aids to security agencies to ensure the safety of residents. He also urged all security agencies to come out and confront what he described as abhorrent development, saying security reports at his disposal deserved serious attention.

At a meeting with leaders of the Okada riders, Special Adviser to Governor Akeredolu on Special Duties, Dr. Doyin Odebowale, urged them to obey the directives as it would help government fish out the criminals among them.

Odebowale stated that many of the robbery incidences were linked to motorcycle riders.

Ondo Commissioner of Police, Salami Bolaji, said the meeting was organised to seek the cooperation because of rise in crime rates, especially the use of Okada.

“We want them to assist us on information to help us to arrest those using Okada to rob or kidnap. We believe the criminals are not Okada riders. It is for the peace and tranquility in Ondo.

The killing of Oba Adeusi however jolted security agencies to action, including the Ondo State Security Network, known as the Amotekun Corps, to increase patrol on the highway and take the fight to the criminals’ den.

Ondo Commandant of the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps, Eweka Edenabu, said the state of insecurity in the state would not be unconnected to the #ENDSARS protest and the recently held governorship election.

“Those two factors contributed to the insecurity but we have put in place lots of measure. We have beefed up security around national assets across the state. We also deploy our men for intelligence gathering.

“All our operational vehicles have been deployed to all parts of the state. Security has been beefed up on the highway. We are doing constant patrolling of the highway. All the black spots in the state are being raided. We will ensure a crime-free Yuletide celebration in Ondo State.”

The Ondo Amotekun Corps, which launched the Operation Clean Up last Tuesday, said over 20 suspects were arrested within two days. Commander of the Amotekun Corps, Adetunji Adeleye, said the Operation Clean Up was meant to rid all nooks and crannies of the state of all criminal elements.

Ekiti caught in the throes of insecurity

For the people of Ekiti State, the last six months have been tough as crimes of different dimensions, such as killings, armed robbery and kidnapping, have become a reoccurring decimal in the state.

The state, which was hitherto known for its peaceful atmosphere, with maximum protection of lives and property, is now a hellhole for travellers and residents alike, many of whom have suffered in the hands of bandits, killers, kidnappers and perpetrators of other forms of crimes.

kidnappers

The deteriorating situation of security in the state has instilled palpable fear in the residents with both the rich and the poor now finding it difficult to sleep with two eyes closed.

The spate of kidnapping in the state has made people to become security conscious and mindful about where when, and how to travel, as highways have become den of kidnappers and killers. Igbara Odo- Ikere, Aramoko-Erio-Efon, Efon-Iwaraja, Akure-Ikere, Ado-Ijan, Ise-Ikere routes are now firestorms for kidnappers.

The growing crime wave in the state has become a thing of concern not only to the residents of the state but to visitors and even those using the state as transit route to their various destinations. Ekiti State shares boundary with four states, namely; Osun, Ondo, Kogi and Kwara.

In the last few months, no fewer than 10 people have been gruesomely murdered in the state while many were kidnapped by suspected herdsmen.

On January 4, a retired principal, Mr. Femi Ayeni, was gunned down by some gunmen in Emure-Ekiti, the headquarters of Emure Local Government Area of Ekiti State. The incident occurred at about 10:30pm at his residence located along Ise-Ekiti road in the community.

On April 27, between Governor Kayode Fayemi’s hometown, Isan-Ekiti and Iludun Ekiti, herdsmen killed a councillor with Ilejemeje Council Area and abducted the Ekiti State Commissioner for Agriculture, Mr. Folorunso Olabode, with a woman, Mrs. Taiwo Bosede on their way to Iye-Ekiti.

The abductees were later released somewhere in Kwara after spending nine days in kidnappers’ den after paying an undisclosed sum of money as ransom.

On September 15, unknown gunmen shot dead a Director in Ekiti State Local Government Commission, Mr. David Jejelowo, in his house at Igirigiri area of Ado Ekiti, the Ekiti State capital.

Barely two days after, a retired United States of America’s Major Jide Ijadare, was kidnapped in his palm oil-producing factory located along Ijan Ekiti-Ise-Ekiti road in Ijan-Ekiti, Gbonyin Council Area of Ekiti State. In the process, one person was shot dead.

On October 3, a pastor working for All Christian, Mr. Kayode Ogunleye, was gunned down in a forest along Aramoko-Ijero Road in Ekiti State. Ogunleye, who was also a farmer, had gone to his farm to harvest plantain when the incident happened.

Two weeks later, a 62 -year -old security guard with the Federal University of Oye Ekiti, Mr. Matthew Malik, went to his farm and never returned. He was murdered by some hired assassins on his farm at Oye Ekiti in the Oye Local Government Area of Ekiti State.

On November 4, tragedy struck Dalimore area of Ado Ekiti, the state capital, when a young trader, Mr. Olanrewaju Oladapo, was shot dead by unknown gunmen. The incident occurred around 9.45pm when the assailants trailed the deceased to his house behind Jone-Jane Hospital in Ado metropolis where he was ambushed and killed at the main entrance.

On November 27, gunmen kidnapped a Chinese expatriate working with the Civil Engineering Construction Company of Nigeria Ltd handling the construction of the new Ado-Iyin road. The victim’s police orderly was shot dead in the ensuing fracas.

The expatriate, who spent four days in the kidnappers’ den, was later released along Ado-Ilawe road after a whopping sum of N100m was paid as ransom.

A day earlier, the Presiding Pastor of Solution Baptist Church, Ikere-Ekiti, Rev’d Johnson Oladimeji, was shot dead in his car along Igbara Odo-Ikere road on his way from Osun State to Ekiti State.

To stem the tide of insecurity, Governor Fayemi has inaugurated a joint patrol comprising operatives of the military, Police and the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps. The taskforce operates on 24hrs, moving across the 16 local government areas of the state; patrolling not just for visibility policing but to also raid black spots.

COVID-19: Sanwo-Olu goes into self-isolation

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Lagos State Governor, Mr. Babajide Sanwo-Olu will go into self-isolation immediately, after one of his close aides tested positive for COVID-19 yesterday (10th of December).

Mr. Governor and other members of his team will be tested by the Lagos State biobank today but will remain in isolation until the results of the tests are available.

We are seeing slightly increasing number of COVID-19 positive cases in clusters in Lagos and all Lagosians should adhere to the prescribed advisories of safe distancing, good hand and respiratory hygiene and avoidance of unnecessary gatherings.

This is not the first time Mr. Governor is having the COVID-19 test. He has had at least three since May when he announced that 10 of his aides had tested positive for the virus.

Professor Akin Abayomi
Honourable Commissioner for Health

2023: The Goodluck Jonathan card

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Despite the call for caution by President Muhammadu Buhari over jostling for the presidency ahead 2023, politicians are already neck deep in permutations on who would be the president’s successor. In this analysis, YUSUF ALLI, MANAGING EDITOR, NORTHERN OPERATION examines the latest push for former President Goodluck Jonathan’s return to the Presidential Villa.

Five years after conceding defeat to an opposition candidate, ex-President Goodluck Jonathan is in the news again over his likely return to the Presidential Villa in 2023, on the back of the tiger – the All Progressives Congress (APC) – that consumed him.

In a strange political calculus, some APC governors and leaders seem to be falling head over heels for Jonathan. The All Progressives Congress Presidential Campaign Organization (APCPCO), through its then Director of Media and Publicity, Mallam Garba Shehu in 2015 described his administration as clueless.

It said: “Nigerians have seen through the nearly six years of the Goodluck Jonathan’s administration that it has been six years of stealing of crude oil at an industrial scale; six years of clueless leadership and six years of high-level corruption.”

THE BEGINNING OF THE ROMANCE

In the last two years, Jonathan has been visited by mother luck. His once frosty relationship with President Muhammadu Buhari turned dramatically into a robust and confidence-winning type. The new found love was crystalized towards the 2019 poll when Buhari and the APC provided political shelter for Jonathan who was then ostracised by the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

The ex-President had sought to have a say on who should be the governor of Bayelsa State. He wanted a former Managing Director of the Niger Delta Development Commission (NDDC), Mr. Timi Alaibe, as the PDP governorship candidate but former Governor Seriake Dickson preferred Senator Douye Diri who later won the primaries.

Feeling humiliated, Jonathan collaborated with the APC and supported the party’s candidate, David Lyon, who won the governorship poll but had his victory nullified by the Supreme Court in favour of PDP’s Diri.

A few minutes after Lyon was declared the initial winner, APC governors stormed Jonathan’s residence in Otuoke to congratulate and thank him. Subsequently, the ex-president was alienated from the party. Diri, however, reconciled with him in what appeared a “face-saving political move” for Jonathan. Yet, the ex-President has been uneasy with the present leadership of PDP but has refused to rock the boat.

Unknown to many the new relationship between Buhari and Jonathan, which has extended to the APC, was brokered by their wives.

The path of First Lady Aisha Buhari and ex-First Lady Patience Jonathan crossed and they have been doting over each other for more than two years. Overwhelmed by EFCC’s revelations about her and court cases, Mrs. Jonathan had sought political back-up to have some respite, but not to influence the judicial process.

She found one in the current First Lady. Their relationship fostered a new understanding hitherto unknown to the Buharis.

The ties between the two ladies got to a stage where they mooted the idea of floating and managing  a COVID-19 treatment centre together under Mrs. Buhari’s pet project tagged Future Assured Programme.

Mrs. Jonathan had offered to temporarily convert her 200-bed hotel in Abuja to a treatment centre. The hotel, allegedly worth about N2 billion, has been under Interim Forfeiture Order secured by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) on April 30, 2018. But the ex-First Lady and the EFCC had been in court over the seizure of the property.

Although agreements were signed by all the parties, the takeoff of the treatment centre was aborted at the last minute because the suspended Acting Chairman of EFCC, Mr. Ibrahim Magu, insisted on applying a presidential directive that seized property should not be used for any purpose. When the project failed, a dejected Mrs. Jonathan was alleged to have complained that “this Magu wants to kill me.”

It was gathered that the failure of the embattled EFCC boss to exercise discretion and read between the lines “on the Buhari-Jonathan new political accord might have added to his present travails because the First Lady who used to be his major backer felt undermined. It was learnt that some loyalists of the president rated Magu’s attitude as an affront on the president. It is a big price he’s now paying because his erstwhile main backer is not too keen on his case.

Others in the power corridor were, however, able to decipher the President and his family’s new soft spot for the Jonathans and exercised restraint till a well-defined direction unfolded. A reliable source said: “A few things about being Jonathan are being dug up contrary to the perception of Buhari, the cabal members and some die-hard loyalists of the President. I think Jonathan’s personage, especially his humility, patience and ability to be resigned to fate have earned him more confidence from the Presidency.”

Some of the President loyalists were said to have bought into the agenda for Jonathan by starting to canvass for power shift to him in 2023 because he is “amenable.”

Notwithstanding, the ex-president  is savouring the moment by becoming an emissary for Buhari with different shuttles to Mali, Cote D’Ivoire and other trouble spots. Such gestures may look harmless but they have enhanced his international profile as a peacemaker.

In the last couple of days APC spokesman, Yekini Nabena, said: “Goodluck Jonathan has been working for this government. He has been going to all African countries. If he is not a progressive person, he won’t have been working for this government. So the PDP should also know that.”

THE REAL PUSH/PERMUTATIONS ON JONATHAN

In the next two and a half years, the curtains will be drawn on Buhari’s leadership era in Nigeria; it will be left to history to judge whether his second coming was worth it. With the 1999 Constitution abhorring a third term and Buhari’s open declaration of his disdain for tenure extension, Nigeria will get a new president in 2023.

It is either Buhari leaves the field open as an impartial arbiter or he becomes interested in who succeeds him. What is playing out in the ruling APC since the exit of the immediate past national chairman, Comrade Adams Oshiomhole and the loss of Edo State to the PDP – with the connivance of many APC governors and leaders, indicated that Buhari might play a big role in determining his successor because as far as the ruling party is concerned, he has learned to hold it in his grip.

Already, the president’s ‘boys’ have hijacked the party under the guise of reforming it to foreclose the chances of any presidential aspirant outside their political tendency from emerging as the presidential candidate.

A source said: “From developments in our party, APC is no longer standing on a tripod as the case before and after the merger in 2014.  The incumbency factor has helped Buhari’s loyalists to take over the party’s structure.

“Even first term governors who are not Buhari’s boys might find it difficult to get a second term ticket on the platform of APC. This is why some of them are secretly retracing their steps to fit into the new scheme of things. The only issue yet to be resolved is who will be Buhari’s anointed candidate as presidential flagbearer.”

Although, highly-respected statesman and nephew of the president, Mallam Mamman Daura recently flew a kite suggesting that merit, not zoning, should guide the choice of the next president, it is becoming clearer to Buhari’s strategists that power must shift to the South or else anarchy might set in.

Banking on a huge vote base of over 12 million, some of the strategists initially toyed with the idea of altering the zoning formula to retain power in the North.

They are also floating Plan B where it is impossible to push their luck further. It was learnt that the strategists are waiting for any slip from PDP to decide if APC will zone its ticket to the North or any geopolitical zone in the North.

Apart from self-preservation, zoning politics allegedly made Governor David Umahi of Ebonyi State to get enmeshed in his long-drawn defection. The governor, who was ignorant of ongoing permutations, said he defected from APC to PDP in the interest of the Southeast.

While Umahi is beating about the bush, Governor Hope Uzodinma on Friday at the Presidential Villa set the benchmark for him. He said: “What we are doing in the Southeast as a party is carrying the message of the party. Before this time, some of us believed that we should have marketed the ideologies and policies better than the past leadership did.

“What we are trying to do is to explain to our people the need to see that this Nigerian project belongs to all of us, and if you jump out of the train, don’t accuse anybody of pushing you out.

“It is not about whether you want to be president now or not; you don’t get presidential ticket by the market square, it is the decision of the political party. You must be loyal to your political party.

“So I know that my brother Umahi is politically strong in the Southeast and joining APC would add to the value of the party in my region. But he never told me he is coming because he will be president.”

An insider source said: “Daura’s thesis was designed to test the waters and feel the political pulse. He was shocked by the backlash and has been using different opportunities to clarify his statement. But it will be a miscalculation for any politician to ignore the Freudian slip from such a tactician like Daura.”

“If PDP opts for a Northern presidential candidate, APC will have no alternative to adopt Daura’s theory that merit should be a major determinant of the next president. Picking a Southern candidate might not attract the votes as much as a Northern candidate.”

The dicey permutations account for the alleged presidential aspiration of Governors Kayode Fayemi, Atiku Bagudu, Abubakar Badaru and other being touted like Mallam Nasir el-Rufai and Mai Mala Buni. Others whose ambition has been known are APC National Leader, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu and Minister of Transportation, Mr. Rotimi Amaechi. If both ex-President Jonathan and ex-President of the Senate, Dr. Bukola Saraki join the race in APC as is being speculated, the numbers may swell.

THE JONATHAN CARD

Investigations revealed that the Jonathan card came into the picture as part of Plan B if it is apparent that power should shift to the South despite the fact that the Southwest and the Southeast are after the presidential slot.

At a session in Abuja, it was agreed that the North may be out of power for eight years if power shifts to either the Southwest or Southeast. Another source who was privy to the ongoing scheming, added: “Some strategists felt the fastest way to return power to the North is to pick Jonathan who will only spend one term in office rather than any Southwest or Southeast candidate.

“It is like an abridged form of power shift and a quick win for the North.”

Responding to a question, the source said: “I think the powers-that-be have weighed options on Jonathan, Vice President Yemi Osinbajo (who ought to be on the pick list except for mistrust the Cabal have for him), Asiwaju Tinubu, Kayode Fayemi and Rotimi Amaechi. They said they were motivated by Jonathan’s attitude to his defeat by Buhari and his cooperation with the administration since 2015.

“But what they have forgotten that Jonathan is not a politician per se and he has no strong political platform or base to win the entire South. He plays politics of providence.”

At a recent confidential parley, a close ally of the president, who was the arrowhead of the search for Jonathan, admitted that “only Asiwaju Tinubu is so far a serious aspirant with a solid structure”. But he was non-committal on the disposition of the Cabal.

A more important factor which has branded Jonathan a much-sought-after bride is an alleged plot by members of the inner caucus of the present administration to handover to a president who will watch their back. It was learnt that most caucus members believe Jonathan fits the bill moreso, the Buhari government also “deliberately refused to probe him save for some ministers and aides that were excessive in conduct while in office.”

A few influential power mongers and schemers do not want power to return to the Southwest, if it must shift at all. In spite of the fact that five years ago the South-South zone was still in power, these power brokers would prefer either the South-South or Southeast which they had treated with disdain in the power equation.

“I think also bad belle politics is behind this Jonathan option being thrown up by a few elements.”

FLYING A KITE WITH JONATHAN?

In spite of the visit of APC governors to Jonathan twice, it was uncertain if they are flying a kite over his candidacy for the 2023 presidential poll. Some feel APC might be setting a booby trap for him.  A party source said: “May be those behind the idea were just testing the waters before they come up with their plans. And they have succeeded in raising the hitherto dormant political temperature in the country. What is incontrovertible is that something is cooking up somehow. We are all eager to know the outcome.”

A former minister confirmed that the APC team actually “asked him to leave PDP for APC but there was no commitment from Jonathan.”

The APC and PDP have been making political capital out of the visit because of the consequences of glossing over it. For its part, the ruling party in a statement through its National Publicity Secretary, Yekini Nabena, was diplomatic as to why its governors visited Jonathan. It said the party was taking steps “to consolidate on its national appeal and acceptance”.

“The trip was not a big deal. At a time when the PDP and its leadership are grappling with a crisis of confidence, one would expect the failed opposition to focus on picking itself up,” the statement said.

Reacting, the PDP’s National Publicity Secretary, Kola Ologbondiyan said the visit confirmed that “the APC, in 2015, only created artificial symbols of misgovernance, corruption, and other alleged misgivings just to discredit our party and grab the levers of power to achieve its members’ selfish desires.

“This visit to Jonathan by the APC governors was a direct acceptance of the successes recorded by our party in building a strong nation with a virile economy that was rated as one of the fastest-growing of the world.

“The visit was, therefore, a subtle step by APC governors into the corridors of the PDP in agreement that our party holds the solution to the myriads of problems brought to our nation by their APC and President Buhari.”

An APC chieftain, Dr. Garus Gololo, however asked the former president to be “wary of some political jobbers who may be mooting the idea of drafting him into the contest.

“They were there on their own. Nobody sent them. They are busy body governors. They abandoned the business of governance in their states and are chasing shadows.

“Who told them Jonathan will win any election again in Nigeria? Who told them we are in shortage of candidates in APC? At the appointed time they shall be shocked by the array of capable personalities that would indicate interest in 2023.”

THE DILEMMA OF JONATHAN

Left to ex-First Lady Patience Jonathan, her husband has no basis for staying in PDP any longer. She has been displeased by the cold attitude of the party to her husband, especially shifting of blame to him for the party’s loss of the 2015 presidential election. She saw it all how all PDP leaders were sneaking into the Villa for favours and how they have abandoned him.

But the ex-President has been circumspect. He was said to have been ruminating on why he will have to abandon a party that made him a Deputy Governor, Vice President and President. He is also enjoying his present status of a statesman more than any other aspiration.

A source close to Jonathan said: “It is a major domestic and political dilemma for the former president. This explains why he is yet to come out to clarify the situation.”

Some have suggested that Jonathan’s political career may slump if he does not fully identify with a political party. They say he’s treated like a leper in PDP and needs a sustainable shelter – except if he wants to remain a statesman.

Analysts warn that unless he is not a student of history, the APC that is luring him is in a tinderbox with a Caretaker Committee managing its affairs. Once he joins, he is either a party to the crisis or victim of the power play.

HURTING HIS IMAGE WITH DEFECTION

A likely backlash Jonathan may experience is the possibility of receding into a political low profile which may earn him the tag of an unstable politician. A senator, who was excited about the prospect of Jonathan defecting to APC said: “I will be happy if he does because he has fought all his friends who defected from PDP to APC. Let him come and tell his story too.”

IS JONATHAN AN ASSET OR LIABILITY TO APC?

Except for the Doctrine of Necessity and unwritten agreement with the North in 2011, Jonathan has always been lucky with being in power. The only time he fought to be a president was in 2015 and he was defeated. With the PDP in control of the South-South, including his homestead Bayelsa State, it will be difficult for him to add value to the electoral fortunes of APC. He could not install a governor in his state not to talk of leading the country.

He also lacks incumbency power and financial wherewithal to win a presidential race that is money-guzzling in this clime. Buhari is not known for staking hard-earned state resources on elections and there is a limit to which Jonathan can enjoy goodwill from the Organized Private Sector for resources.

Findings confirmed that if he gets the APC ticket, some chieftains of the party might either leave or sabotage his presidential bid.

Coming to APC may create a political liability for the party which defeated him in 2015. The APC will end up de-marketing itself because voters would argue that they were misled into voting for the party in 2015.

Since he left power, Jonathan has not been contributing to national discourse, unlike ex-President Olusegun Obasanjo, to be able to identify him with any cause.

Since presidential ticket is not served a la carte, Jonathan has to compete for the slot with a motley of aspirants, including some early birds who are already burning their energy. The APC presidential bus is already crowded such that they are engaging in self-destruction before the race begins. Some of those who visited Jonathan on his 63rd birthday also have presidential aspirations; a handful even have more robust antecedents of performance in office than Jonathan.

Also, facing the electorate with all the scandals associated with his administration might be an uphill task. Towards the 2016 poll, he lost the goodwill of the international community.  He admitted in a book, “Against the Run of Play” by Olusegun Adeniyi as follows: “President Obama and his officials made it very clear to me by their actions that they wanted a change of government in Nigeria and were ready to do anything to achieve that purpose”.

“I got on well with… Cameron but at some point, I noticed that the Americans were putting pressure on him and he had to join them against me.

“But I didn’t realize how far President Obama was prepared to go to remove me until France caved in to the pressure from America.” There is no sign that the assessment of Jonathan by the foreign powers has changed.

LIKELIHOOD OF A THIRD FORCE

This is being speculated and if it is created, Jonathan will have to re-strategize to be able to defeat this force.

The recent nationwide #EndSARS protest has raised a fresh army of young and agitated voters who may influence the outcome of 2023 presidential poll beyond the traditional method which Jonathan and his generation are used to.

He was elected in 2011 on the basis of the sentiments of being a young man and a minority. The stakes have become higher. APC was quick to realize that the electoral dynamics might record a radical dimension in 2023 and it is trying to attract more potentially influential figures into its fold.

It will be dangerous gambit for Jonathan to put all his eggs in one basket and over rely on Buhari who might find it difficult as an outgoing president to control the political tempo, especially between late 2021 and 2022.

Being a product of providence, Jonathan will need more than good luck to lead Nigeria in 2023. He requires much hard work, solid structure, nationwide goodwill and image redemption to be able to compete for the presidential slot. More than any aspirant, he must watch his back to avoid being used as “a pawn.”

LEGAL OBSTACLE AGAINST JONATHAN

With the fourth alteration to the 1999 Constitution by the National Assembly, Jonathan is technically unqualified to contest for the presidency in 2023.

The Fourth Alteration was made in 2017. It was tagged  Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, (Fourth Alteration) Bill, No. 16, 2017 (Restriction of Tenure of the President and Governor). The amendment  restricts a person who was sworn-in as President or Governor to complete the term of the elected President from contesting for the same office for more than one term. It became effective from June  7, 2018.

The alteration says a citizen cannot be sworn in as President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria after being inaugurated thrice. Jonathan took oath of office as Acting President in 2010, as substantive president after the death of late President Umaru Yar’Adua in 2010 and as elected president in 2011.

A governor, who spoke in confidence, said: “Those behind this are flying a kite and they are merely massaging the ego of Jonathan to make him politically relevant. The fourth alteration to the 1999 Constitution does not allow him to contest.”

But another source argued that a court settled the matter in 2015 that Jonathan can be sworn in thrice.

The governor, however, disagrees: “The Fourth Alteration has overtaken whatever relief Jonathan got in 2015. Nigerians will meet in court if he tries his luck. It is better for him to continue to enjoy free publicity being given to him now.”