Obi leads new poll, Tinubu favourite among silent voters

Peter Obi, the Labour Party candidate, is currently in the lead with a 41% margin of victory, according to a recent Stears Nigeria poll.

Following closely at 31% and 20%, respectively, are Abubakar Atiku of the Peoples Democratic Party and Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

When questioned about who they would probably vote for, 36% of the respondents remained silent.

The largest telephone-based electoral poll in Nigeria, according to Stears, “covers 6,220 respondents across Nigeria’s 36 States” in a poll that was released on Tuesday.

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Tinubu will win the election, though, according to Stears’ model, even if fewer people vote than usual.

In comparison to Obi and Atiku, who are expected to receive 32% and 22% of the votes, respectively, the former governor of Lagos State will receive 39% of the votes.

According to the polling firms, “Stears prediction model believes that Tinubu has the most silent voters, i.e. people who intend to vote for Tinubu but choose not to disclose this during an interview.”