2027 Elections: Debate Rages Over Tinubu, Atiku, Obi, Kwankwaso’s Prospects

As Nigeria approaches the 2027 presidential election, political debates and geopolitical maneuvers are becoming more intense. At the core of these developments are renowned opposition leaders Rabiu Kwankwaso, Peter Obi, and Atiku Abubakar, as well as President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Strategic talks of the opposition

There is a rising recognition of the necessity of unity in the wake of the 2023 elections, in which a split opposition failed to overthrow Tinubu.

According to Ibrahim Abdullahi, the PDP’s Deputy National Publicity Secretary, if the party had handled internal disputes more effectively, Obi and Kwankwaso might have stayed with the party, which could have changed the outcome of the election.

He highlighted continuing talks to build a strong coalition to take on the incumbent All Progressives Congress (APC) in 2027.

Not all observers, though, share this optimism on the opposition’s prospects.

“Even a united opposition might struggle against Tinubu’s political influence and Nigeria’s electoral system,” activist lawyer Deji Adeyanju warned Atiku, Obi, and Kwankwaso against investing in another presidential attempt.

Demands for wider partnerships

Some voices are urging a wider opposition coalition that goes beyond Atiku, Obi, and Kwankwaso. Former APC National Vice Chairman (North-West) Salihu Lukman has asked influential figures to join the opposition, including Nasir El-Rufai, Rotimi Amaechi, Kayode Fayemi, and former Vice President Yemi Osinbajo. To effectively challenge the APC’s domination, he said, personal goals must be pushed aside in favor of creating a powerful political party.

stance of the ruling party

Regarding the 2027 elections, there is a mixture of confidence and prudence inside the APC. The party is certain that President Tinubu’s administration will continue to fulfill its commitments, consolidating public support, even though it recognizes the opposition’s capacity to reorganize.

Concerns regarding Tinubu’s prospects of winning reelection were rejected by Ahmed S. Aruwa, the Kano APC Publicity Secretary. He asserts that the political career of Atiku Abubakar is coming to an end. Additionally, he denied Kwankwaso’s significance, claiming that his recent encounter with former Minister Rauf Aregbesola was only an attempt to ensure his political survival.

“Kwankwaso does not currently have a political party,” Aruwa said.

“His popularity is exaggerated in the North and is incomparable to Tinubu’s war on insecurity and economic reforms.”

What experts are stating in anticipation of 2027

There are still differing views about the probable results of the 2027 elections.

It was Abdullahi Abba, a political expert who supported an Atiku administration. He maintained that Atiku has amassed a huge network of allies and followers throughout Nigeria thanks to his lengthy political career.

“His ties within the party and the wider political landscape have been strengthened by his prior positions, including his time as Vice President,” Abba stated.

He also pointed out that Atiku’s track record of establishing partnerships across regions and ethnic groups enhances his attractiveness as a candidate who can bring people together. He cautioned, though, that internal party dynamics might present difficulties.

In the PDP, factionalism could result from the goals of other powerful individuals, including Governors Bala Mohammed and Seyi Makinde. The success of Atiku will depend on how well these dynamics are managed.

A political scientist from Bayero University Kano named Dr. Sa’id Dukawa adopted a more comprehensive stance, predicting that the 2027 election will be a full-scale conflict in which all significant parties will be actively involved.

Political connections and cross-carpeting have never been stronger. “2027 will be a game-changer, and politicians are getting ready early,” Dukawa said.

Views of the public and the future

Nigerians’ expectations are still divided as political scheming heats up. A government that can successfully address corruption, economic instability, and insecurity is still something that many residents want.

Echoing the growing mood of the public, he stated that unless there are notable improvements, it might be challenging for Tinubu to hold onto power.

Nigerians are still the ones who make the final decisions when coalitions are formed and plans are developed. They intend to replace Tinubu’s administration in 2027 with a more promising candidate if they do not see the transformation they voted for.

The upcoming years are expected to be extremely active as the opposition and the ruling party prepare for the pivotal conflict that lies ahead, given how quickly the political landscape is changing.

War Against Injustice Executive Director Umar Ibrahim Umar thinks Tinubu’s chances in 2027 could be threatened by the economic hardship brought on by his reforms.

“Rather than providing relief, the economic reforms have caused more hardship.” “Since then, the policies have not been more lenient,” Umar stated.

In 2027, who will Northerners back?

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Many Northerners have not yet decided who they will vote for, if they will vote at all.

Following Tinubu’s inauguration on May 29, the first significant economic policy that Nigerians opposed was the increased cost of gasoline, which a few Keke Napep riders voiced their displeasure over.

According to Kano reports, they expressed a great deal of resentment over having to terminate their higher-purchase agreements due to their inability to reach their daily goals.

According to one rider, “a liter of gasoline now costs over ₦1,000, and it doesn’t even last.”

Another said, “We’re trying to find food. Does anyone have time to cast a ballot?

Many Nigerians are not convinced that the current government should be re-elected, even in light of increased efforts by APC leaders and Tinubu’s cabinet members, as well as news of food costs in some Northern Nigerian marketplaces plummeting.

They are now contemplating options from the PDP, NNPP, or possibly the LP due to the current uncertainties.